{"id":586,"date":"2022-09-08T20:21:51","date_gmt":"2022-09-08T20:21:51","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/?page_id=586"},"modified":"2023-02-15T16:16:31","modified_gmt":"2023-02-15T16:16:31","slug":"assessing-the-impacts-of-mobility-scenarios","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/index.php\/foresee-scenarios-for-assessing-the-impacts-of-emerging-urban-mobility-environments\/assessing-the-impacts-of-mobility-scenarios\/","title":{"rendered":"Assessing the impacts of mobility scenarios"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"wpb-content-wrapper\"><p>[vc_row][vc_column]<div class=\"heading heading_style heading_style69f0cca7f02a1    style-2\"><div class=\"sub-style\" ><div class=\"head-title text-left\" > <h4 class=\"heading-title text-left \"  style=\"color: #4b6584;font-family:;font-weight:600;\"  data-hover=\"Description\">Description<\/h4><\/div><\/div><\/div>[vc_column_text]<span data-contrast=\"auto\">The objective of this task is to assess the likely impacts of the scenarios on the sustainability dimensions economy, environment, and society. This step is needed to understand where policy interventions are needed to realise positive impacts and to avoid negative effects.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The economic, social, and environmental impacts of the city-specific do-nothing scenarios are evaluated based on an assessment framework, which was developed by SPROUT partners. The framework consists of\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li data-leveltext=\"\uf0b7\" data-font=\"Symbol\" data-listid=\"3\" data-list-defn-props=\"{&quot;335552541&quot;:1,&quot;335559684&quot;:-2,&quot;335559685&quot;:720,&quot;335559991&quot;:360,&quot;469769226&quot;:&quot;Symbol&quot;,&quot;469769242&quot;:[8226],&quot;469777803&quot;:&quot;left&quot;,&quot;469777804&quot;:&quot;\uf0b7&quot;,&quot;469777815&quot;:&quot;hybridMultilevel&quot;}\" aria-setsize=\"-1\" data-aria-posinset=\"1\" data-aria-level=\"1\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">the main impact (or consequence) areas: Economy, Society, Environment\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li data-leveltext=\"\uf0b7\" data-font=\"Symbol\" data-listid=\"3\" data-list-defn-props=\"{&quot;335552541&quot;:1,&quot;335559684&quot;:-2,&quot;335559685&quot;:720,&quot;335559991&quot;:360,&quot;469769226&quot;:&quot;Symbol&quot;,&quot;469769242&quot;:[8226],&quot;469777803&quot;:&quot;left&quot;,&quot;469777804&quot;:&quot;\uf0b7&quot;,&quot;469777815&quot;:&quot;hybridMultilevel&quot;}\" aria-setsize=\"-1\" data-aria-posinset=\"1\" data-aria-level=\"1\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">a limited set of indicators to assess the development and state of the system; and<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li data-leveltext=\"\uf0b7\" data-font=\"Symbol\" data-listid=\"3\" data-list-defn-props=\"{&quot;335552541&quot;:1,&quot;335559684&quot;:-2,&quot;335559685&quot;:720,&quot;335559991&quot;:360,&quot;469769226&quot;:&quot;Symbol&quot;,&quot;469769242&quot;:[8226],&quot;469777803&quot;:&quot;left&quot;,&quot;469777804&quot;:&quot;\uf0b7&quot;,&quot;469777815&quot;:&quot;hybridMultilevel&quot;}\" aria-setsize=\"-1\" data-aria-posinset=\"2\" data-aria-level=\"1\"><span data-contrast=\"auto\">ranges (in %) that can be used to evaluate the direction and magnitude of change per indicator (e.g. an increase by 5-10%; or a decrease for &gt;30%). The suggested ranges differ for the individual questions and indicators; they were derived either from existing studies or from consensus building within the project consortium.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>[\/vc_column_text]<style type=\"text\/css\">@media (min-width:992px){.empty_space69f0cca7f031e {padding-top: 20;}}@media (max-width:991px){.empty_space69f0cca7f031e {padding-top: 15;}}@media (max-width:600px){.empty_space69f0cca7f031e {padding-top: 10;}}<\/style><div class=\"pt-plus-empty-space empty_space69f0cca7f031e \" data-uid=\"empty_space69f0cca7f031e\" ><\/div>[vc_single_image image=&#8221;1016&#8243; img_size=&#8221;large&#8221; alignment=&#8221;center&#8221; onclick=&#8221;link_image&#8221; css_animation=&#8221;none&#8221;]<style type=\"text\/css\">@media (min-width:992px){.empty_space69f0cca7f0385 {padding-top: 20;}}@media (max-width:991px){.empty_space69f0cca7f0385 {padding-top: 15;}}@media (max-width:600px){.empty_space69f0cca7f0385 {padding-top: 10;}}<\/style><div class=\"pt-plus-empty-space empty_space69f0cca7f0385 \" data-uid=\"empty_space69f0cca7f0385\" ><\/div>[vc_column_text]<span class=\"TextRun SCXW266284031 BCX0\" lang=\"EN-GB\" xml:lang=\"EN-GB\" data-contrast=\"auto\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW266284031 BCX0\">More information on the framework, how it was derived and used is provided in the referenced article by Xenou et al. under \u201cfurther information\u201d (Xenou et al. 2022)<\/span><\/span><span class=\"EOP SCXW266284031 BCX0\" data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span>[\/vc_column_text]<style type=\"text\/css\">.tstp_accordion69f0cca7f1495.pt_plus_tabs_block .accordion-style-2 .vc_tta-panels-container .vc_tta-panel.vc_active .vc_tta-panel-heading a{color: #ff214f;}.tstp_accordion69f0cca7f1495.pt_plus_tabs_block .accordion-style-2 .vc_tta-panels-container .vc_tta-panel .vc_tta-panel-heading a{color: #4d4d4d;}.tstp_accordion69f0cca7f1495.pt_plus_tabs_block .accordion-style-2 .vc_tta-panels-container .vc_tta-panel a .vc_tta-controls-icon{font-size: 14px;}.tstp_accordion69f0cca7f1495.pt_plus_tabs_block .accordion-style-2 .vc_tta-panels-container .vc_tta-panel a {font-size: 16px ;font-family:;font-weight:600;}.tstp_accordion69f0cca7f1495.pt_plus_tabs_block .accordion-style-2 .vc_tta-panels-container .vc_tta-panel .vc_tta-panel-heading h4:after,.tstp_accordion69f0cca7f1495.pt_plus_tabs_block .accordion-style-3 .vc_tta-panels-container .vc_tta-panel .vc_tta-panel-heading h4:after{background: #fff;}<\/style><div class=\"pt_plus_tabs_block  tstp_accordion69f0cca7f1495\" id=\"tabid_69f0cca7f138f\"  data-uid=\"tstp_accordion69f0cca7f1495\" ><div class=\"vc_tta-container\" data-vc-action=\"collapseAll\"><div class=\"vc_general vc_tta vc_tta-accordion vc_tta-o-shape-group vc_tta-controls-align-left vc_tta-o-all-clickable accordion-style-2\"><div class=\"vc_tta-panels-container\" ><div class=\"vc_tta-panels\">[vc_tta_section title=&#8221;Prioritising Indicators&#8221; tab_id=&#8221;1669757445284-d54044d3-fc37&#8243;][vc_column_text]<\/p>\n<div class=\"wpb_text_column wpb_content_element \">\n<div class=\"wpb_wrapper\">\n<p><span class=\"TextRun SCXW34970021 BCX0\" lang=\"EN-GB\" xml:lang=\"EN-GB\" data-contrast=\"auto\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun AdvancedProofingIssueV2Themed SCXW34970021 BCX0\" data-ccp-parastyle=\"No Spacing\">Taking into account<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW34970021 BCX0\" data-ccp-parastyle=\"No Spacing\"> the large number of indicators identified, the indicators were prioritised. The prioritisation process was completed by SPROUT research partners, based on 5 criteria:\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<h5>Criterion 1: How difficult is estimating the indicator&#8217;s future state?<\/h5>\n<p><span class=\"TextRun SCXW264798857 BCX0\" lang=\"EN-GB\" xml:lang=\"EN-GB\" data-contrast=\"auto\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW264798857 BCX0\">This criterion strengthens the feasibility of the survey and reassures the accuracy of the outcomes by excluding these indicators for which it is not possible to estimate their future state.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<table width=\"548\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"246\">Criterion 1<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"5\" width=\"302\">Rating scale<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td rowspan=\"2\" width=\"246\">Estimating the indicator\u2019s future state is<\/td>\n<td width=\"66\">not possible<\/td>\n<td width=\"66\">slightly difficult<\/td>\n<td width=\"66\">moderately easy<\/td>\n<td width=\"47\">easy<\/td>\n<td width=\"57\">very easy<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"66\">0<\/td>\n<td width=\"66\">1<\/td>\n<td width=\"66\">2<\/td>\n<td width=\"47\">3<\/td>\n<td width=\"57\">4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<hr \/>\n<h5>Criterion 2: Is the indicator related to an issue that in the past has been researched?<\/h5>\n<p>The second criterion highlights the areas where <strong>a knowledge gap is identified<\/strong> and where the pilot could provide missing insight.<\/p>\n<table width=\"548\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"265\">Criterion 2<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"5\" width=\"283\">Rating scale<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td rowspan=\"2\" width=\"265\">The indicator is related to an issue that in the past has been researched<\/td>\n<td width=\"66\">extensively<\/td>\n<td width=\"76\">to a large extent<\/td>\n<td width=\"57\">moderately<\/td>\n<td width=\"38\">slightly<\/td>\n<td width=\"47\">not at all<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"66\">0<\/td>\n<td width=\"76\">1<\/td>\n<td width=\"57\">2<\/td>\n<td width=\"38\">3<\/td>\n<td width=\"47\">4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<hr \/>\n<h5 class=\"vc_tta-panel-title vc_tta-controls-icon-position-left\"><span class=\"vc_tta-title-text\">Criterion 3: Is the indicator directly related to New Mobility Services?<\/span><\/h5>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<table width=\"547\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"364\">Criterion 3<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\" width=\"123\">Rating scale<\/td>\n<td width=\"60\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td rowspan=\"2\" width=\"364\">The indicator is directly related to New Mobility Services<\/td>\n<td width=\"52\">No<\/td>\n<td width=\"70\">Indirectly<\/td>\n<td width=\"60\">Directly<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"52\">0<\/td>\n<td width=\"70\">1<\/td>\n<td width=\"60\">2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<hr \/>\n<h5 class=\"vc_tta-panel-title vc_tta-controls-icon-position-left\"><span class=\"vc_tta-title-text\">Criterion 4: Is the indicator already included in the SPROUT Urban Mobility Transition Inventory?<\/span><\/h5>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<table width=\"536\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"406\">Criterion 4<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\" width=\"130\">Rating scale<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td rowspan=\"2\" width=\"406\">The indicator is included in the Urban Mobility Transition Inventory<\/td>\n<td width=\"60\">No<\/td>\n<td width=\"69\">Yes<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"60\">0<\/td>\n<td width=\"69\">1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<hr \/>\n<h5>Criterion 5: Does the indicator address a potential consequence already identified?<\/h5>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<table width=\"539\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"370\">Criterion 5<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\" width=\"169\">Rating scale<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td rowspan=\"2\" width=\"370\">The indicator addresses a potential consequence already identified<\/td>\n<td width=\"83\">No<\/td>\n<td width=\"86\">Yes<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"83\">0<\/td>\n<td width=\"86\">1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_tta_section][vc_tta_section title=&#8221;Selecting Indicators&#8221; tab_id=&#8221;1669758112942-d6d04afb-eb36&#8243;][vc_column_text]<span class=\"TextRun SCXW238590707 BCX0\" lang=\"EN-GB\" xml:lang=\"EN-GB\" data-contrast=\"auto\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun CommentStart CommentHighlightPipeRest CommentHighlightRest SCXW238590707 BCX0\">The prioritisation resulted in a list of 30 indicators to assess the city-specific scenarios in terms of their expected impacts on the sustainability dimensions: <\/span><\/span><span class=\"EOP CommentHighlightPipeRest SCXW238590707 BCX0\" data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<table class=\" alignleft\" style=\"height: 1692px;\" width=\"604\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td rowspan=\"28\" width=\"63\"><strong>\u00a0ECONOMY<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"541\"><strong>Expected impact on:<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"541\"><strong>Econ CA 1: The urban transport service structure\/mix.<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"541\">Share of public transport (%)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"541\">Share of car transport (%)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"541\">Share of micromobility (%)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"541\">Share of active transport (%)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"541\">Share of car sharing transport (%)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"541\">Share of green deliveries (cargo bikes, electric tricycles, green autonomous\/automated means) (% of daily deliveries)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"541\">Share of next hour to same day goods delivery services (% of daily deliveries)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"541\">Number of shared dockless bikes<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"541\">Number of shared e-scooters<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"541\"><strong>Econ CA 2: The urban space allocation<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"541\">Share of urban space for public transport<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"541\">Share of urban space for private\/shared cars<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"541\">Share of urban space for cycling\/scooter lanes<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"541\">Share of urban space for pedestrian areas<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"541\">Number of autonomous\/automated PT services on dedicated lanes<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"541\"><strong>Econ CA 3: The urban transport service volumes<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"541\">Average number of daily urban freight trips<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"541\">Average number of vehicles entering the city on a daily basis<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"541\"><strong>Econ CA 4: The city&#8217; s urban transport service level<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"541\">Costs of alternative modes of urban passenger transport<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"541\">Share of passengers that use a smart method to pay for or validate a PT ticket (%)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"541\">Share of PT vehicles that are equipped to provide real-time data that is released to passengers (%)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"541\">Urban deliveries prices\u00a0 (\u20ac\/package)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"541\">Goods delivery frequency (average number of weekly deliveries to consumers)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"541\"><strong>Econ CA 5:\u00a0 The urban transport operational costs &amp; required investment costs?<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"541\">Additional private investments required (% of existing annual investment cost)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td rowspan=\"5\" width=\"63\"><strong>ENVIRONMENT<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"541\"><strong>Expected impact on<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"541\">Env CA1: Climate change<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"541\">CO<sub>2<\/sub> equivalent or greenhouse gas emissions<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"541\">Env CA2: Air quality index<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"541\">Air quality index<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td rowspan=\"12\" width=\"63\"><strong>SOCIETY<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"541\"><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><strong>Soc CA1: Employment &amp; social security?<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"541\"><strong>Expected impact on<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"541\">Gig economy (external contractor) employment (% of total employees)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"541\"><strong>Soc CA2:\u00a0 Safety &amp; security?<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"541\"><strong>Expected impact on<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"541\">Share of urban mobility accidents involving micromobility means (%)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"541\">Share of urban mobility accidents involving on-demand bike\/scooter deliveries (%)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"541\"><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><strong>Soc CA3: Access to mobility services?<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"541\"><strong>Expected impact on<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"541\">Affordability of using mobility services (citizens&#8217; average annual cost of trips \/ annual income)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"541\">Access to mobility services (ease with which all\u00a0 categories\u00a0 of\u00a0 passengers\u00a0 can\u00a0 use\u00a0 public transport)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"541\">Accessibility for vulnerable groups to mobility services (ease with which vulnerable\u00a0 passengers\u00a0 can\u00a0 use\u00a0 public transport)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_tta_section][vc_tta_section title=&#8221;Deriving a continnum of intervals per indicator&#8221; tab_id=&#8221;1669758265684-2bf4794b-af73&#8243;][vc_column_text]<\/p>\n<div class=\"vc_tta-panel-body\">\n<div class=\"wpb_text_column wpb_content_element \">\n<div class=\"wpb_wrapper\">\n<p><span class=\"TextRun SCXW1769371 BCX0\" lang=\"EN-GB\" xml:lang=\"EN-GB\" data-contrast=\"auto\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW1769371 BCX0\">An impact scale can be expressed either verbally under terms such as \u2018increase\u2019 \u2013 \u2018decrease\u2019 \u2013 \u2018not affected\u2019; <\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun ContextualSpellingAndGrammarErrorV2Themed SCXW1769371 BCX0\">or\u00a0 \u2018<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW1769371 BCX0\">no impact\u2019 &#8211; \u2018minor impact\u2019, \u2018moderate impact\u2019 &#8211; \u2018major impact\u2019; or numerically such as -3, -2, -1, 0, +1, +2, +3.\u00a0 Where possible, each of these values is linked to quantitative intervals, for example:\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"151\">No impact<\/td>\n<td width=\"151\">Minor impact<\/td>\n<td width=\"151\">Moderate impact<\/td>\n<td width=\"151\">Major impact<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"151\">0<\/td>\n<td width=\"151\">+1% to +15%<\/td>\n<td width=\"151\">+16% to +50%<\/td>\n<td width=\"151\">\u00d8\u00a0 50%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><span class=\"TextRun SCXW24222830 BCX0\" lang=\"EN-GB\" xml:lang=\"EN-GB\" data-contrast=\"auto\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW24222830 BCX0\">The selection of the respective interval values was based on an extended literature review of previous research surveys as well as on desktop research. Where no references could be found, the experience of the SPROUT partners involved was employed. The main purpose of this research was to give orientation and to align stakeholder\u2019s inputs to the impact assessments. The resulting SPROUT Consequence Matrix which provides intervals for the respective indicators is provided here:<\/span><\/span> <a href=\"https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/index.php\/download\/sprout-consequence-matrix\/\"><strong>Consequence Matrix<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_tta_section][vc_tta_section title=&#8221;Data collection and analysis&#8221; tab_id=&#8221;1669758267494-0d4db8bf-c538&#8243;][vc_column_text]<\/p>\n<div class=\"vc_tta-panel-body\">\n<div class=\"wpb_text_column wpb_content_element \">\n<div class=\"wpb_wrapper\">\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">In this step, stakeholders are asked to assess the sustainability impacts of three scenarios that have been developed for each city: two scenarios are based on the outcome of the cross-impact balance analysis, and the third one is the result of the developments deemed most likely by local stakeholders.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The assessment builds upon the consequence matrix, as developed in the previous step. The assessment would be carried out in face-to-face workshops in which stakeholders discuss and agree on a value per indicator.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Due to travel and meeting restrictions under the Covid-19 pandemic, <\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">the implementation of physical meetings and workshops was not possible in the SPROUT project<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">. Instead, stakeholder input was collected either via online surveys or in virtual workshops which were organised by the SPROUT cities.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Depending on the chosen format, two different approaches to aggregate stakeholders\u2019 opinions into one single value per indicator were followed: (1) cities that implemented virtual workshops followed a direct consensus building approach, with stakeholders negotiating and agreeing on the value per indicator during the meeting. (2) Cities that collected responses through individual contacts with stakeholders used the 70% majority rule. That means, a consensus was considered as reached, when 70% of the stakeholders agreed in a specific survey question. In cases where the stakeholder\u2019s opinion diverged strongly, different responses were noted.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span class=\"TextRun SCXW96101594 BCX0\" lang=\"EN-US\" xml:lang=\"EN-US\" data-contrast=\"auto\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW96101594 BCX0\">A detailed description of the steps is provided in <\/span><\/span><span class=\"TextRun MacChromeBold SCXW96101594 BCX0\" lang=\"EN-US\" xml:lang=\"EN-US\" data-contrast=\"none\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW96101594 BCX0\"><a href=\"https:\/\/sprout-civitas.eu\/resources\/d3-2-sustainability-impact-analysis-of-city-specific-scenarios\">SPROUT Deliverable 3.2 Sustainability impact analysis of city-specific scenarios, Chapter 2 Methodology<\/a>.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p>The following graph shows stakeholders\u2019 assessment of the changes in the share of transport under Valenica\u2019s scenario 1:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Picture_2_4.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-1021 size-medium\" src=\"https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Picture_2_4-251x300.png\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 251px) 100vw, 251px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Picture_2_4-251x300.png 251w, https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Picture_2_4-856x1024.png 856w, https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Picture_2_4-768x918.png 768w, https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Picture_2_4-1284x1536.png 1284w, https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Picture_2_4-122x146.png 122w, https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Picture_2_4-42x50.png 42w, https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Picture_2_4-63x75.png 63w, https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Picture_2_4.png 1664w\" alt=\"\" width=\"251\" height=\"300\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span class=\"TextRun SCXW252996341 BCX0\" lang=\"EN-GB\" xml:lang=\"EN-GB\" data-contrast=\"auto\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW252996341 BCX0\" data-ccp-parastyle=\"No Spacing\">The stakeholder involvement would normally be conducted in focus group meetings. Due to the Covid-19 pandemic, however, the assessment of impacts was done via an online survey<\/span><\/span>. <strong>An example survey is provided in the \u201ctools and methods\u201d section below.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span class=\"TextRun SCXW46531811 BCX0\" lang=\"EN-GB\" xml:lang=\"EN-GB\" data-contrast=\"auto\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW46531811 BCX0\" data-ccp-parastyle=\"No Spacing\">Still, some cities implemented a virtual workshop for reaching consensus among their stakeholders. To support the local team, SPROUT partners compiled a guidance document<\/span><\/span>: <a href=\"https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Sprout-D3.1-City-specific-urban-mobility-scenarios-_updated.pdf\">available here<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_tta_section]<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>[vc_column_text][\/vc_column_text]<style type=\"text\/css\">@media (min-width:992px){.empty_space69f0cca7f14fc {padding-top: 20;}}@media (max-width:991px){.empty_space69f0cca7f14fc {padding-top: 15;}}@media (max-width:600px){.empty_space69f0cca7f14fc {padding-top: 10;}}<\/style><div class=\"pt-plus-empty-space empty_space69f0cca7f14fc \" data-uid=\"empty_space69f0cca7f14fc\" ><\/div><div class=\"heading heading_style heading_style69f0cca7f1545    style-2\"><div class=\"sub-style\" ><div class=\"head-title text-left\" > <h4 class=\"heading-title text-left \"  style=\"color: #4b6584;font-family:;font-weight:600;\"  data-hover=\"SPROUT material and tools\">SPROUT material and tools<\/h4><\/div><\/div><\/div>[vc_column_text]<div class='w3eden'><!-- WPDM Link Template: Default Template -->\n\n<div class=\"link-template-default card mb-2\">\n    <div class=\"card-body\">\n        <div class=\"media\">\n            <div class=\"mr-3 img-48\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wpdm_icon\" alt=\"Icon\" src=\"https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/wp-content\/plugins\/download-manager\/assets\/file-type-icons\/pdf.svg\" \/><\/div>\n            <div class=\"media-body\">\n                <h3 class=\"package-title\"><a href='https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/index.php\/download\/sprout-indicators-for-assessing-city-specific-scenarios\/'>SPROUT Indicators for assessing city specific scenarios<\/a><\/h3>\n                <div class=\"text-muted text-small\"><i class=\"fas fa-copy\"><\/i> 1 file(s) <i class=\"fas fa-hdd ml-3\"><\/i> 89.02 KB<\/div>\n            <\/div>\n            <div class=\"ml-3\">\n                <a class='wpdm-download-link download-on-click btn btn-primary '  rel='nofollow' href='#' data-downloadurl=\"https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/index.php\/download\/sprout-indicators-for-assessing-city-specific-scenarios\/?wpdmdl=1151&refresh=69f0cca801b8e1777388712\">Download<\/a>\n            <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<\/div>\n<div class='w3eden'><!-- WPDM Link Template: Default Template -->\n\n<div class=\"link-template-default card mb-2\">\n    <div class=\"card-body\">\n        <div class=\"media\">\n            <div class=\"mr-3 img-48\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wpdm_icon\" alt=\"Icon\" src=\"https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/wp-content\/plugins\/download-manager\/assets\/file-type-icons\/pdf.svg\" \/><\/div>\n            <div class=\"media-body\">\n                <h3 class=\"package-title\"><a href='https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/index.php\/download\/sprout-consequence-matrix\/'>SPROUT - Consequence Matrix<\/a><\/h3>\n                <div class=\"text-muted text-small\"><i class=\"fas fa-copy\"><\/i> 1 file(s) <i class=\"fas fa-hdd ml-3\"><\/i> 290.91 KB<\/div>\n            <\/div>\n            <div class=\"ml-3\">\n                <a class='wpdm-download-link download-on-click btn btn-primary '  rel='nofollow' href='#' data-downloadurl=\"https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/index.php\/download\/sprout-consequence-matrix\/?wpdmdl=727&refresh=69f0cca807d341777388712\">Download<\/a>\n            <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<\/div>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Future-mobility-scenarios-of-5-European-cities-CERTH-comments_WI_MG-1.pdf\">Factsheet: Sustainability impact analysis of city-specific scenarios<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/index.php\/download\/sprout-indicators-for-assessing-city-specific-scenarios\/\"><span class=\"TextRun SCXW170279947 BCX0\" lang=\"EN-AU\" xml:lang=\"EN-AU\" data-contrast=\"none\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun CommentStart CommentHighlightPipeRest CommentHighlightRest SCXW170279947 BCX0\" data-ccp-charstyle=\"fontstyle01\" data-ccp-charstyle-defn=\"{&quot;ObjectId&quot;:&quot;2c3856d9-38d8-4b56-bbd5-acd9046b52a8|84&quot;,&quot;ClassId&quot;:1073872969,&quot;Properties&quot;:[469775450,&quot;fontstyle01&quot;,201340122,&quot;1&quot;,134233614,&quot;true&quot;,469778129,&quot;fontstyle01&quot;,335572020,&quot;1&quot;,134224900,&quot;false&quot;,134224901,&quot;false&quot;,201342447,&quot;5&quot;,201342448,&quot;1&quot;,469777841,&quot;ArialMT&quot;,469777842,&quot;&quot;,469777843,&quot;Calibri&quot;,469777844,&quot;ArialMT&quot;,469769226,&quot;ArialMT,Calibri&quot;,335551500,&quot;0&quot;,268442635,&quot;22&quot;,469778324,&quot;Default Paragraph Font&quot;]}\">SPROUT <\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun CommentHighlightRest SCXW170279947 BCX0\" data-ccp-charstyle=\"fontstyle01\">I<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun CommentHighlightRest SCXW170279947 BCX0\" data-ccp-charstyle=\"fontstyle01\">ndicators for assessing city scenarios<\/span> <\/span><\/a><span class=\"EOP CommentHighlightPipeRest SCXW170279947 BCX0\" data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559685&quot;:182,&quot;335559991&quot;:141}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/3.2-Annex-II-Retyped.pdf\">Exemplary stakeholder survey: Annex II of D3.2<\/a><\/li>\n<li>Ranges for the individual indicators in the survey, including the studies from which they were derived, are described in Annex I of <a href=\"https:\/\/sprout-civitas.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/SPROUT-D3.2_Sustainability-impact-of-city-specific-scenarios_updated.pdf\">SROUT D3.2<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>[\/vc_column_text]<style type=\"text\/css\">@media (min-width:992px){.empty_space69f0cca808bab {padding-top: 20;}}@media (max-width:991px){.empty_space69f0cca808bab {padding-top: 15;}}@media (max-width:600px){.empty_space69f0cca808bab {padding-top: 10;}}<\/style><div class=\"pt-plus-empty-space empty_space69f0cca808bab \" data-uid=\"empty_space69f0cca808bab\" ><\/div><div class=\"heading heading_style heading_style69f0cca808bfa    style-2\"><div class=\"sub-style\" ><div class=\"head-title text-left\" > <h4 class=\"heading-title text-left \"  style=\"color: #4b6584;font-family:;font-weight:600;\"  data-hover=\"Other relevant tools and methods\">Other relevant tools and methods<\/h4><\/div><\/div><\/div>[vc_row_inner][vc_column_inner width=&#8221;1\/4&#8243;][vc_column_text]<div class='w3eden'><div class=\"card mb-3\">\n<img class='wpdm-thumb wpdm-thumb-200x200 wpdm-thumb-762' src='https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/wpdm-cache\/SUMI_SPROUT-200x200.png' alt='SUMI Sustainable Urban Mobility Indicators' \/>\n    <div class=\"card-body\">\n        <h3 class=\"card-title ellipsis mb-2 mt-0 p-0\" style=\"font-size: 13pt\">SUMI Sustainable Urban Mobility Indicators<\/h3>\n       \n        <a href=\"https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/index.php\/download\/sumi-sustainable-urban-mobility-indicators\/\" class=\"btn btn-primary\">View Details<\/a>\n    <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column_inner][vc_column_inner width=&#8221;1\/4&#8243;][vc_column_text]<div class='w3eden'><div class=\"card mb-3\">\n<img class='wpdm-thumb wpdm-thumb-200x200 wpdm-thumb-1135' src='https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/wpdm-cache\/EU-survey-200x200.jpg' alt='EU Survey Tool' \/>\n    <div class=\"card-body\">\n        <h3 class=\"card-title ellipsis mb-2 mt-0 p-0\" style=\"font-size: 13pt\">EU Survey Tool<\/h3>\n       \n        <a href=\"https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/index.php\/download\/eu-survey-tool\/\" class=\"btn btn-primary\">View Details<\/a>\n    <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column_inner][vc_column_inner width=&#8221;1\/4&#8243;][\/vc_column_inner][vc_column_inner width=&#8221;1\/4&#8243;][\/vc_column_inner][\/vc_row_inner]<style type=\"text\/css\">@media (min-width:992px){.empty_space69f0cca8111b6 {padding-top: 20;}}@media (max-width:991px){.empty_space69f0cca8111b6 {padding-top: 15;}}@media (max-width:600px){.empty_space69f0cca8111b6 {padding-top: 10;}}<\/style><div class=\"pt-plus-empty-space empty_space69f0cca8111b6 \" data-uid=\"empty_space69f0cca8111b6\" ><\/div><div class=\"heading heading_style heading_style69f0cca8111eb    style-2\"><div class=\"sub-style\" ><div class=\"head-title text-left\" > <h4 class=\"heading-title text-left \"  style=\"color: #4b6584;font-family:;font-weight:600;\"  data-hover=\"Data required\">Data required<\/h4><\/div><\/div><\/div>[vc_column_text]The stakeholder survey to assess the sustainability of scenarios builds upon \u00a0Expert \/ practitioner\u2019s \u00a0knowledge[\/vc_column_text]<style type=\"text\/css\">@media (min-width:992px){.empty_space69f0cca811207 {padding-top: 20;}}@media (max-width:991px){.empty_space69f0cca811207 {padding-top: 15;}}@media (max-width:600px){.empty_space69f0cca811207 {padding-top: 10;}}<\/style><div class=\"pt-plus-empty-space empty_space69f0cca811207 \" data-uid=\"empty_space69f0cca811207\" ><\/div><div class=\"heading heading_style heading_style69f0cca811230    style-2\"><div class=\"sub-style\" ><div class=\"head-title text-left\" > <h4 class=\"heading-title text-left \"  style=\"color: #4b6584;font-family:;font-weight:600;\"  data-hover=\"Further Information\">Further Information<\/h4><\/div><\/div><\/div>[vc_column_text]Xenou, E., Ayfantopoulou, G., Royo, B., Tori, S., &amp; Mazzarino, M. (2022). Methodology for Consequence Analysis of Future Mobility Scenarios: The SPROUT Framework. Future Transportation, 2(2), 453\u2013466. <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.3390\/futuretransp2020025\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.3390\/futuretransp2020025<\/a>[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column]<style type=\"text\/css\">@media (min-width:992px){.empty_space69f0cca811249 {padding-top: 20;}}@media (max-width:991px){.empty_space69f0cca811249 {padding-top: 15;}}@media (max-width:600px){.empty_space69f0cca811249 {padding-top: 10;}}<\/style><div class=\"pt-plus-empty-space empty_space69f0cca811249 \" data-uid=\"empty_space69f0cca811249\" ><\/div>[vc_btn title=&#8221;Back&#8221; style=&#8221;classic&#8221; color=&#8221;info&#8221; align=&#8221;center&#8221; custom_onclick=&#8221;true&#8221; custom_onclick_code=&#8221;history.back(-1)&#8221;][\/vc_column][\/vc_row]<\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]The objective of this task is to assess the likely impacts of the scenarios on the sustainability dimensions economy, environment, and society. This step is needed<span class=\"excerpt-hellip\"> [\u2026]<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":447,"menu_order":3,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-586","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/586","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=586"}],"version-history":[{"count":28,"href":"https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/586\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1371,"href":"https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/586\/revisions\/1371"}],"up":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/447"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=586"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}