{"id":583,"date":"2022-09-08T20:05:49","date_gmt":"2022-09-08T20:05:49","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/?page_id=583"},"modified":"2023-02-15T15:47:37","modified_gmt":"2023-02-15T15:47:37","slug":"co-creating-and-utilizing-scenarios","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/index.php\/foresee-scenarios-for-assessing-the-impacts-of-emerging-urban-mobility-environments\/co-creating-and-utilizing-scenarios\/","title":{"rendered":"Co-creating and utilizing scenarios"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"wpb-content-wrapper\"><p>[vc_row][vc_column][vc_custom_heading text=&#8221;Description&#8221; font_container=&#8221;tag:h4|text_align:left|color:%234b6584&#8243; use_theme_fonts=&#8221;yes&#8221;][vc_column_text]<span data-contrast=\"auto\">Scenario processes consist of a sequence of steps, which are depicted below. This section aims at providing practical experiences with conducting scenario processes in the SPROUT cities.\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The SPROUT scenario-building approach is a combination of cross-impact balance analysis <\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">(Weimer-Jehle, 2006)<\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> and scenario workshops. Before starting the methodology, it is important to identify the time horizon of the scenarios and to identify the local stakeholders that will participate in the scenario development. It is important to ensure that there is good coverage of the local stakeholders in the process. The methodology is made up of a sequence of steps, as shown below:<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"none\"><strong>Stages for preparing, conducting, and analyzing the results of scenario processes:<\/strong>\u00a0<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Constructing consistent scenarios requires a sequence of stages that are conducted by experts with the support of stakeholders. This section briefly outlines the steps that scenario processes usually follow:<span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span>[\/vc_column_text]<style type=\"text\/css\">.tstp_accordion69ee4f548ef67.pt_plus_tabs_block .accordion-style-3 .vc_tta-panels-container .vc_tta-panel.vc_active .vc_tta-panel-heading a{color: #4b6584;}.tstp_accordion69ee4f548ef67.pt_plus_tabs_block .accordion-style-3 .vc_tta-panels-container .vc_tta-panel .vc_tta-panel-heading a{color: #4d4d4d;}.tstp_accordion69ee4f548ef67.pt_plus_tabs_block .accordion-style-3 .vc_tta-panels-container .vc_tta-panel a .vc_tta-controls-icon{font-size: 14px;}.tstp_accordion69ee4f548ef67.pt_plus_tabs_block .accordion-style-3 .vc_tta-panels-container .vc_tta-panel a {font-size: 16px ;font-family:;font-weight:600;}.tstp_accordion69ee4f548ef67.pt_plus_tabs_block .accordion-style-2 .vc_tta-panels-container .vc_tta-panel .vc_tta-panel-heading h4:after,.tstp_accordion69ee4f548ef67.pt_plus_tabs_block .accordion-style-3 .vc_tta-panels-container .vc_tta-panel .vc_tta-panel-heading h4:after{background: #ffffff;}<\/style><div class=\"pt_plus_tabs_block  tstp_accordion69ee4f548ef67\" id=\"tabid_69ee4f5487641\"  data-uid=\"tstp_accordion69ee4f548ef67\" ><div class=\"vc_tta-container\" data-vc-action=\"collapseAll\"><div class=\"vc_general vc_tta vc_tta-accordion vc_tta-o-shape-group vc_tta-controls-align-left vc_tta-o-all-clickable accordion-style-3\"><div class=\"vc_tta-panels-container\" ><div class=\"vc_tta-panels\">[vc_tta_section title=&#8221;1. Define time horizons for the scenarios&#8221; tab_id=&#8221;1664186447737-49e075a5-626b&#8221;][vc_column_text]<span class=\"TextRun SCXW149674715 BCX9\" lang=\"EN-GB\" xml:lang=\"EN-GB\" data-contrast=\"auto\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW149674715 BCX9\" data-ccp-charstyle=\"Emphasis\">Scenarios refer to specific target years. It is important to choose manageable time horizons; too short a period of months or a few years may not be sufficient to create enough space for new developments, while too long a time horizon (e.g., 50 or 100 years) introduces too much indeterminacy and uncertainty to derive useful results. Typically, scenarios build on time horizons of <\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW149674715 BCX9\" data-ccp-charstyle=\"Emphasis\">10<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW149674715 BCX9\" data-ccp-charstyle=\"Emphasis\"> to 30 years. If available, time horizons should be aligned with the city&#8217;s targets and objectives as defined in SUMPs or climate plans, for example. SPROUT <\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW149674715 BCX9\" data-ccp-charstyle=\"Emphasis\">employed the<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW149674715 BCX9\" data-ccp-charstyle=\"Emphasis\"> year 2030 for the scenario-building<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW149674715 BCX9\" data-ccp-charstyle=\"Emphasis\">\u00a0<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW149674715 BCX9\" data-ccp-charstyle=\"Emphasis\">process.\u00a0<\/span><\/span><span class=\"EOP SCXW149674715 BCX9\" data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span>[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_tta_section][vc_tta_section title=&#8221;2. Select an adequate set of stakeholders&#8221; tab_id=&#8221;1664186447747-3da8f99a-1513&#8243;][vc_column_text]<span class=\"TextRun SCXW259705362 BCX9\" lang=\"EN-GB\" xml:lang=\"EN-GB\" data-contrast=\"none\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW259705362 BCX9\" data-ccp-charstyle=\"Emphasis\">Participants to be invited to the workshops should reflect a broad range of stakeholders from the city administration, political parties, industry and economy (such as the chamber of commerce), practitioners, science, and civil society. All relevant departments of the city or regional administrations should be represented. Please refer to the <\/span><\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/index.php\/download\/sprout-urban-mobility-transition-drivers-and-stakeholders-template-kpis\/\"><strong>catalogue of stakeholders<\/strong><\/a> <span class=\"TextRun SCXW259705362 BCX9\" lang=\"EN-GB\" xml:lang=\"EN-GB\" data-contrast=\"none\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW259705362 BCX9\" data-ccp-charstyle=\"Emphasis\">for guidance and as inspiration on the types of stakeholders who might be relevant to your situation. The SPROUT project has also generated a<\/span><\/span>\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/index.php\/download\/sprout-scenario-building-workshop-template\/\"><strong>template<\/strong><\/a>, <span class=\"TextRun SCXW259705362 BCX9\" lang=\"EN-GB\" xml:lang=\"EN-GB\" data-contrast=\"none\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW259705362 BCX9\" data-ccp-charstyle=\"Emphasis\">as well as the accompanying<\/span><\/span> <a href=\"https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/index.php\/download\/sprout-instruction-for-scenario-workshop-organizers\/\"><strong>instructions for organizers<\/strong><\/a>, <span class=\"TextRun SCXW142341032 BCX9\" lang=\"EN-GB\" xml:lang=\"EN-GB\" data-contrast=\"none\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW142341032 BCX9\" data-ccp-charstyle=\"Emphasis\">for conducting scenario-building workshops.<\/span><\/span><span class=\"EOP SCXW142341032 BCX9\" data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span>[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_tta_section][vc_tta_section title=&#8221;3. Define relevant drivers&#8221; tab_id=&#8221;1664186608057-98564e9f-5850&#8243;][vc_column_text]<span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW112500158 BCX0\" data-ccp-charstyle=\"Emphasis\">Drivers are factors that are likely to have a significant direct or indirect effect on the system under examination \u2013 in the SPROUT case the urban mobility systems of the partner cities. Drivers are factors that are beyond the influence of the city (which distinguishes them from policies and policy measures). They might include technological innovations, economic development, <\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW112500158 BCX0\" data-ccp-charstyle=\"Emphasis\">or <\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW112500158 BCX0\" data-ccp-charstyle=\"Emphasis\">demography.<\/span> Please refer to the section on <a href=\"https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/index.php\/foresee-scenarios-for-assessing-the-impacts-of-emerging-urban-mobility-environments\/co-creating-and-utilizing-scenarios\/#_Understanding_drivers_that\">drivers<\/a> for more information.<\/p>\n<p>In the SPROUT project, 1<sup>st<\/sup>\u2013 and 2<sup>nd<\/sup>\u00a0\u2013 layer cities were asked to rate the level of importance of all urban mobility transition drivers identified on a pre-defined 5-point scale, ranging from \u2018not important\u2019 to \u2018very important\u2019. <span class=\"TextRun SCXW80865071 BCX0\" lang=\"EN-GB\" xml:lang=\"EN-GB\" data-contrast=\"none\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW80865071 BCX0\">The 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                 class=\" wdtheader sort \"\n        style=\"\">        Budapest<\/th>        <th\n                        class=\" wdtheader sort \"\n        style=\"\">        Tel Aviv<\/th>    <\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n        <!-- \/Table header -->\n\n        <!-- Table body -->\n        \n<tbody>\n<!-- Table body -->\n<div data-id=\"2\"\n     class=\"wdt-timeline-item wdt-timeline-table_1\"\n     style=\"\">\n    <div class=\"wdt-table-loader\">\n        <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-row wdt-table-loader-header\">\n            <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-header-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n            <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-header-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n            <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-header-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n        <\/div>\n                    <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-row\">\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                    <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-row\">\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                    <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-row\">\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                    <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-row\">\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                    <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-row\">\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                    <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-row\">\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                    <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-row\">\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                    <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-row\">\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                    <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-row\">\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                    <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-row\">\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                    <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-row\">\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                    <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-row\">\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                    <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-row\">\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                    <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-row\">\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                    <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-row\">\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                    <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-row\">\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                    <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-row\">\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                    <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-row\">\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                    <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-row\">\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                    <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-row\">\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                    <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-row\">\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                    <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-row\">\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                    <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-row\">\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                    <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-row\">\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                    <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-row\">\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n                    <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-row\">\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n                <div class=\"wdt-table-loader-cell wdt-animated-background\"><\/div>\n            <\/div>\n            <\/div>\n<\/div><!-- \/Table body -->\n                    <tr id=\"table_2_row_0\"\n            data-row-index=\"0\">\n                            <td style=\"\">2<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">P1: Liberalization<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">2<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">2<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">2<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">0<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">1<\/td>\n                    <\/tr>\n                            <tr id=\"table_2_row_1\"\n            data-row-index=\"1\">\n                            <td style=\"\">3<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">P2: Political agenda<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">4<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">3<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">2<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">2<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">3<\/td>\n                    <\/tr>\n                            <tr id=\"table_2_row_2\"\n            data-row-index=\"2\">\n                            <td style=\"\">4<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">P3: Transparency and corruption<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">4<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">4<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">1<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">2<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">0<\/td>\n                    <\/tr>\n                            <tr id=\"table_2_row_3\"\n            data-row-index=\"3\">\n                            <td style=\"\">5<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">P4: Tax policy<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">3<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">2<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">3<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">1<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">3<\/td>\n                    <\/tr>\n                            <tr id=\"table_2_row_4\"\n            data-row-index=\"4\">\n                            <td style=\"\">7<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">Ec1: New employment arrangements<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">3<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">3<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">2<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">2<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">0<\/td>\n                    <\/tr>\n                            <tr id=\"table_2_row_5\"\n            data-row-index=\"5\">\n                            <td style=\"\">8<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">Ec2: Tourism<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">3<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">2<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">3<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">3<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">3<\/td>\n                    <\/tr>\n                            <tr id=\"table_2_row_6\"\n            data-row-index=\"6\">\n                            <td style=\"\">9<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">Ec3: New business models<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">4<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">3<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">3<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">1<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">2<\/td>\n                    <\/tr>\n                            <tr id=\"table_2_row_7\"\n            data-row-index=\"7\">\n                            <td style=\"\">10<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">Ec4: Economic growth and crisis<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">3<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">2<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">3<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">2<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">3<\/td>\n                    <\/tr>\n                            <tr id=\"table_2_row_8\"\n            data-row-index=\"8\">\n                            <td style=\"\">11<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">Ec5: Transformation of retail<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">3<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">3<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">3<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">1<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">2<\/td>\n                    <\/tr>\n                            <tr id=\"table_2_row_9\"\n            data-row-index=\"9\">\n                            <td style=\"\">13<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">S1: Migration<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">3<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">1<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">3<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">0<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">0<\/td>\n                    <\/tr>\n                            <tr id=\"table_2_row_10\"\n            data-row-index=\"10\">\n                            <td style=\"\">14<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">S2: Urban structure<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">3<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">3<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">3<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">4<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">3<\/td>\n                    <\/tr>\n                            <tr id=\"table_2_row_11\"\n            data-row-index=\"11\">\n                            <td style=\"\">15<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">S3: Demographic composition<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">2<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">1<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">4<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">2<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">3<\/td>\n                    <\/tr>\n                            <tr id=\"table_2_row_12\"\n            data-row-index=\"12\">\n                            <td style=\"\">16<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">S4: Health consciousness<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">2<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">2<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">2<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">2<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">0<\/td>\n                    <\/tr>\n                            <tr id=\"table_2_row_13\"\n            data-row-index=\"13\">\n                            <td style=\"\">17<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">S5: Changing behaviour towards car ownership<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">3<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">2<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">4<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">1<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">2<\/td>\n                    <\/tr>\n                            <tr id=\"table_2_row_14\"\n            data-row-index=\"14\">\n                            <td style=\"\">18<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">S6: Environmental consciousness<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">3<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">3<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">3<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">3<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">3<\/td>\n                    <\/tr>\n                            <tr id=\"table_2_row_15\"\n            data-row-index=\"15\">\n                            <td style=\"\">19<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">S7: Safety Concerns<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">2<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">2<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">3<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">3<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">3<\/td>\n                    <\/tr>\n                            <tr id=\"table_2_row_16\"\n            data-row-index=\"16\">\n                            <td style=\"\">20<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">S8: Security Concerns<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">2<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">1<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">0<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">1<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">2<\/td>\n                    <\/tr>\n                            <tr id=\"table_2_row_17\"\n            data-row-index=\"17\">\n                            <td style=\"\">21<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">S9: Individualization<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">2<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">1<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">2<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">1<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">0<\/td>\n                    <\/tr>\n                            <tr id=\"table_2_row_18\"\n            data-row-index=\"18\">\n                            <td style=\"\">22<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">S10: The rise of next-hour to same-day (on- demand) delivery requirement<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">2<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">3<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">1<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">0<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">2<\/td>\n                    <\/tr>\n                            <tr id=\"table_2_row_19\"\n            data-row-index=\"19\">\n                            <td style=\"\">24<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">T1: Electrification of mobility<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">3<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">3<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">3<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">3<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">1<\/td>\n                    <\/tr>\n                            <tr id=\"table_2_row_20\"\n            data-row-index=\"20\">\n                            <td style=\"\">25<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">T2: Adoption of smart-city technology<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">3<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">3<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">3<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">1<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">3<\/td>\n                    <\/tr>\n                            <tr id=\"table_2_row_21\"\n            data-row-index=\"21\">\n                            <td style=\"\">26<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">T3: Consumer- and citizen- oriented digitalization<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">3<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">2<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">3<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">3<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">3<\/td>\n                    <\/tr>\n                            <tr id=\"table_2_row_22\"\n            data-row-index=\"22\">\n                            <td style=\"\">27<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">T4: Automation<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">1<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">3<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">1<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">1<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">1<\/td>\n                    <\/tr>\n                            <tr id=\"table_2_row_23\"\n            data-row-index=\"23\">\n                            <td style=\"\">29<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">En1 : Climate change<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">3<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">2<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">3<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">4<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">1<\/td>\n                    <\/tr>\n                            <tr id=\"table_2_row_24\"\n            data-row-index=\"24\">\n                            <td style=\"\">30<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">En2 : Local environmental quality<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">3<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">4<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">4<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">3<\/td>\n                            <td style=\"\">2<\/td>\n                    <\/tr>\n            <\/tbody>        <!-- \/Table body -->\n\n        <!-- Table footer -->\n        \n        <!-- \/Table footer -->\n    <\/table>\n\n<\/div><style>\ntable.wpDataTable td.numdata { text-align: right !important; }\n<\/style>\n<style>\n<\/style>\n<style>\n                            \n            \/* even rows background color *\/\n    .wpdt-c.wpDataTablesWrapper table#wpdtSimpleTable-2 tr.even td,\n    .wpdt-c .wpDataTablesWrapper table.wpDataTable.wpDataTableID-2 tr.even td,\n    .wpdt-c .wpDataTablesWrapper table.has-columns-hidden.wpDataTableID-2 tr.row-detail > td {\n        background-color: #CBCBCB !important;\n    }\n\n                                    \n                <\/style>\n[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_tta_section][vc_tta_section title=&#8221;4. Define options for the direction \/ the future states of drivers&#8221; tab_id=&#8221;1664186680902-3067944c-652f&#8221;][vc_column_text]<span class=\"TextRun SCXW228885458 BCX0\" lang=\"EN-GB\" xml:lang=\"EN-GB\" data-contrast=\"none\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW228885458 BCX0\" data-ccp-charstyle=\"Emphasis\">For each selected driver, possible future states are determined. Future states are a<\/span><\/span> <span class=\"TextRun SCXW228885458 BCX0\" lang=\"EN-GB\" xml:lang=\"EN-GB\" data-contrast=\"none\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW228885458 BCX0\" data-ccp-charstyle=\"Emphasis\">limited number of qualitatively or quantitively described states. The potential future states can be expressed<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>quantitatively (numeric);<\/li>\n<li>as a scale (for example \u2018increase \u2013 no change \u2013 decrease\u2019)<\/li>\n<li>nominal (for example urban pattern: dense \u2013 sprawling \u2013 polycentric).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW213637715 BCX0\" data-ccp-charstyle=\"Emphasis\">The respective response options (variants) should cover possible future states for the individual drivers. For <\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW213637715 BCX0\" data-ccp-charstyle=\"Emphasis\">all<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW213637715 BCX0\" data-ccp-charstyle=\"Emphasis\"> variables, SPROUT used a t<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW213637715 BCX0\" data-ccp-charstyle=\"Emphasis\">wo<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW213637715 BCX0\" data-ccp-charstyle=\"Emphasis\">-step scale<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW213637715 BCX0\" data-ccp-charstyle=\"Emphasis\"> (<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW213637715 BCX0\" data-ccp-charstyle=\"Emphasis\">for example: \u2018moderate growth\u2013 strong growth\u2019; or \u2018decrease \u2013 increase\u2019), but more granular scales are also possible.<\/span>[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_tta_section][vc_tta_section title=&#8221;5. Determining the mutual impact of drivers&#8221; tab_id=&#8221;1664186713884-d997958f-3fb9&#8243;][vc_column_text]<span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW253294803 BCX0\" data-ccp-charstyle=\"Emphasis\">As a next step, the <\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW253294803 BCX0\" data-ccp-charstyle=\"Emphasis\">direct <\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW253294803 BCX0\" data-ccp-charstyle=\"Emphasis\">mutual influence of the drivers and their assumed states are <\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun ContextualSpellingAndGrammarErrorV2Themed SCXW253294803 BCX0\" data-ccp-charstyle=\"Emphasis\">cross-assessed<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW253294803 BCX0\" data-ccp-charstyle=\"Emphasis\"> based on qualitative <\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun ContextualSpellingAndGrammarErrorV2Themed SCXW253294803 BCX0\" data-ccp-charstyle=\"Emphasis\">experts<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW253294803 BCX0\" data-ccp-charstyle=\"Emphasis\"> judgements. This analysis is the basis for identifying coherent scenarios in the next step.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span class=\"TextRun SCXW44077314 BCX0\" lang=\"EN-GB\" xml:lang=\"EN-GB\" data-contrast=\"auto\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW44077314 BCX0\" data-ccp-charstyle=\"Emphasis\">Experts asked to assess whether and how a certain state of one driver directly impacts on the state of another driver; for example, an increase of the state of driver \u2018A\u2019 leads to a decrease of the state of driver \u2018B\u2019; or driver \u2018A\u2019 and driver \u2018B\u2019 are unconnected. This process is repeated for all pairs of drivers and in both directions<\/span><\/span> (A \u27a1 B; B \u27a1 A). <span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW44077314 BCX0\" data-ccp-charstyle=\"Emphasis\">The assessment builds on an integer scale, ranging from negative to neutral and positive values. SPROUT used a <\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW44077314 BCX0\" data-ccp-charstyle=\"Emphasis\">2<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW44077314 BCX0\" data-ccp-charstyle=\"Emphasis\">-stages Likert scale with a scale ranging from \u20132 to +2. A value of \u20180\u2019 denotes \u2018no influence\u2019<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW44077314 BCX0\" data-ccp-charstyle=\"Emphasis\">:<\/span><\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>+2<\/td>\n<td>Strongly promoting influence<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>+1<\/td>\n<td>Weakly promoting influence<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>0<\/td>\n<td>No influence<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>-1<\/td>\n<td>Weakly restricting influence<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>-2<\/td>\n<td>Strongly restricting influence<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><span class=\"TextRun SCXW130128150 BCX0\" lang=\"EN-GB\" xml:lang=\"EN-GB\" data-contrast=\"auto\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW130128150 BCX0\" data-ccp-charstyle=\"Emphasis\">For example: one could assume that \u2018increased tourism\u2019 can have a weakly promoting influence on the \u2018growth of new business models\u2019, but that \u2018growth of new business models\u2019 does not influence \u2018tourism\u2019.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span class=\"TextRun SCXW73894122 BCX0\" lang=\"EN-GB\" xml:lang=\"EN-GB\" data-contrast=\"auto\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW73894122 BCX0\" data-ccp-charstyle=\"Emphasis\">In SPROUT, several individual expert assessments of all pair-interactions were compiled into a \u2018cross-impact matrix\u2019. Scenarios are more consistent the higher the score of positive influences (promoting direct influence) is, and the fewer restrictive influences there are between their elements (drivers and their values). T<\/span><\/span><span class=\"TextRun SCXW73894122 BCX0\" lang=\"EN-GB\" xml:lang=\"EN-GB\" data-contrast=\"auto\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW73894122 BCX0\">his macro-matrix exercise was completed in SPROUT by a team of experts from the Vrije Universiteit Brussel (VUB), including specialists on urban mobility, electric mobility, urban logistics and ecommerce. Details are <\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW73894122 BCX0\">provided<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW73894122 BCX0\"> in <\/span><\/span><strong><span class=\"TextRun MacChromeBold SCXW73894122 BCX0\" lang=\"EN-GB\" xml:lang=\"EN-GB\" data-contrast=\"none\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW73894122 BCX0\">SPROUT D3.1<\/span><\/span><\/strong><span class=\"TextRun SCXW73894122 BCX0\" lang=\"EN-GB\" xml:lang=\"EN-GB\" data-contrast=\"none\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW73894122 BCX0\">.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span class=\"TextRun SCXW129944394 BCX0\" lang=\"EN-GB\" xml:lang=\"EN-GB\" data-contrast=\"auto\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW129944394 BCX0\" data-ccp-charstyle=\"Emphasis\">The results of the SPROUT cross-impact assessment can be seen in the SPROUT cross-impact table. This general table can be adopted and validated in the city-specific context.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">Example of a cross-impact table from a SPROUT city<\/p>\n<p>[\/vc_column_text][vc_single_image image=&#8221;1012&#8243; img_size=&#8221;medium&#8221; add_caption=&#8221;yes&#8221; alignment=&#8221;center&#8221; onclick=&#8221;link_image&#8221;][\/vc_tta_section][vc_tta_section title=&#8221;6. Deriving consistent scenarios&#8221; tab_id=&#8221;1664186845283-077d12fb-27a5&#8243;][vc_column_text]<span class=\"TextRun SCXW40090921 BCX0\" lang=\"EN-GB\" xml:lang=\"EN-GB\" data-contrast=\"auto\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW40090921 BCX0\" data-ccp-charstyle=\"Emphasis\">Each <\/span><\/span><span class=\"TextRun SCXW40090921 BCX0\" lang=\"EN-GB\" xml:lang=\"EN-GB\" data-contrast=\"auto\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW40090921 BCX0\">possible combination of all driver states presents one scenario, which leads to an unmanageable number of scenarios. Consequently, the first step is to cut down this number by eliminating internally inconsistent scenarios. <\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW40090921 BCX0\">Only consistent scenarios, <\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW40090921 BCX0\">that are based on mutually supportive assumptions, and that avoid contradicting causal relations<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW40090921 BCX0\"> are <\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW40090921 BCX0\">further considered.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span class=\"TextRun SCXW245271148 BCX0\" lang=\"EN-GB\" xml:lang=\"EN-GB\" data-contrast=\"auto\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW245271148 BCX0\" data-ccp-charstyle=\"Emphasis\">For example, one could consider the combination of \u201cincreasing urban sprawl\u201d and an \u201cdecreasing valuation of car ownership\u201d inconsistent.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span class=\"TextRun SCXW215997844 BCX0\" lang=\"EN-GB\" xml:lang=\"EN-GB\" data-contrast=\"auto\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW215997844 BCX0\">The results of the city-specific impact table can then be analysed using tools such as<\/span><\/span> <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/cross-impact.de\/english\/CIB_e_ScW.htm\">ScenarioWizard<\/a>,<\/strong> <span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW215997844 BCX0\">a free<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW215997844 BCX0\"> software for applying cross impact balance analysis. Based on this input<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW215997844 BCX0\"> in SPROUT<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW215997844 BCX0\">, the software generate<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW215997844 BCX0\">d<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW215997844 BCX0\"> between 1 and 7<\/span> <span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW215997844 BCX0\">consistent scenarios<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW215997844 BCX0\">,<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW215997844 BCX0\"> which<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW215997844 BCX0\"> were<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW215997844 BCX0\"> then the basis for selecting the final set of the most \u201cconsistent\u201d scenarios.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span class=\"TextRun SCXW182128572 BCX0\" lang=\"EN-GB\" xml:lang=\"EN-GB\" data-contrast=\"auto\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW182128572 BCX0\">In total, three scenarios have been developed for each SPROUT pilot city: two are based on the outcome of the cross-impact balance analysis performed in Task 3.1, and the third is the result of the developments deemed most likely by local stakeholder.<\/span><\/span>[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_tta_section][vc_tta_section title=&#8221;7. Constructing narrative scenarios&#8221; tab_id=&#8221;1664186877905-fe7748ab-a876&#8243;][vc_column_text]<span class=\"TextRun SCXW213193170 BCX0\" lang=\"EN-GB\" xml:lang=\"EN-GB\" data-contrast=\"none\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW213193170 BCX0\">Based on the results of the scenarios&#8217; sustainability assessment, as well as their policy-related assessment, the final city-specific narrative scenarios were created, putting together all the previous elements and adding visualizations. The scenarios served as a basis for the pilots&#8217; implementation and the development of alternative policy responses for all the cities.<\/span><\/span><span class=\"EOP SCXW213193170 BCX0\" data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span class=\"TextRun SCXW115899527 BCX0\" lang=\"EN-GB\" xml:lang=\"EN-GB\" data-contrast=\"auto\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW115899527 BCX0\">The quantitative output of the cross-impact analysis is enhanced by a city-specific narrative description. These narrative descriptions can be obtained through workshops with local stakeholders. Finally, these narrative scenarios can be translated into visual representations, which would be useful in communicating the message to the relevant stakeholders, and the public at large. The example visual representation for the SPROUT cities <\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun ContextualSpellingAndGrammarErrorV2Themed SCXW115899527 BCX0\">are<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW115899527 BCX0\"> found here:<\/span><\/span><span class=\"EOP SCXW115899527 BCX0\" data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/sprout-civitas.eu\/resources\/future-mobility-scenario-budapest\">Budapest<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/sprout-civitas.eu\/resources\/future-mobility-scenarios-kalisz\">Kalisz<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/sprout-civitas.eu\/resources\/future-mobility-scenarios-padua\">Padua<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/sprout-civitas.eu\/resources\/future-mobility-scenarios-tel-aviv\">Tel Aviv<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/sprout-civitas.eu\/resources\/future-mobility-scenarios-valencia\">Valencia<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span class=\"TextRun SCXW385909 BCX0\" lang=\"EN-GB\" xml:lang=\"EN-GB\" data-contrast=\"auto\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW385909 BCX0\">In the following <\/span><\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/dE7ln3WPOhs\"><span class=\"TextRun MacChromeBold SCXW385909 BCX0\" lang=\"EN-GB\" xml:lang=\"EN-GB\" data-contrast=\"none\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW385909 BCX0\">video presentation<\/span><\/span><\/a><span class=\"TextRun SCXW385909 BCX0\" lang=\"EN-GB\" xml:lang=\"EN-GB\" data-contrast=\"auto\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW385909 BCX0\">, <\/span><\/span><span class=\"TextRun Highlight SCXW385909 BCX0\" lang=\"EN-GB\" xml:lang=\"EN-GB\" data-contrast=\"auto\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW385909 BCX0\">Sara Tori from Vrije Universiteit Brussel presents the SPROUT methodology for developing narrative and visual scenarios for cities.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p>https:\/\/youtu.be\/dE7ln3WPOhs[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_tta_section]<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><style type=\"text\/css\">@media (min-width:992px){.empty_space69ee4f548eff7 {padding-top: 20;}}@media (max-width:991px){.empty_space69ee4f548eff7 {padding-top: 15;}}@media (max-width:600px){.empty_space69ee4f548eff7 {padding-top: 10;}}<\/style><div class=\"pt-plus-empty-space empty_space69ee4f548eff7 \" data-uid=\"empty_space69ee4f548eff7\" ><\/div>[vc_custom_heading text=&#8221;Related SPROUT material&#8221; font_container=&#8221;tag:h4|text_align:left|color:%234b6584&#8243; use_theme_fonts=&#8221;yes&#8221;][vc_column_text]<div class='w3eden'><!-- WPDM Link Template: Default Template -->\n\n<div class=\"link-template-default card mb-2\">\n    <div class=\"card-body\">\n        <div class=\"media\">\n            <div class=\"mr-3 img-48\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wpdm_icon\" alt=\"Icon\" src=\"https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/wp-content\/plugins\/download-manager\/assets\/file-type-icons\/pdf.svg\" \/><\/div>\n            <div class=\"media-body\">\n                <h3 class=\"package-title\"><a href='https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/index.php\/download\/sprout-urban-mobility-transition-drivers-and-stakeholders-template-kpis\/'>SPROUT - Catalogue of urban mobility stakeholders<\/a><\/h3>\n                <div class=\"text-muted text-small\"><i class=\"fas fa-copy\"><\/i> 1 file(s) <i class=\"fas fa-hdd ml-3\"><\/i> 83.67 KB<\/div>\n            <\/div>\n            <div class=\"ml-3\">\n                <a class='wpdm-download-link download-on-click btn btn-primary '  rel='nofollow' href='#' data-downloadurl=\"https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/index.php\/download\/sprout-urban-mobility-transition-drivers-and-stakeholders-template-kpis\/?wpdmdl=806&refresh=69ee4f54930da1777225556\">Download<\/a>\n            <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<\/div>\n<div class='w3eden'><!-- WPDM Link Template: Default Template -->\n\n<div class=\"link-template-default card mb-2\">\n    <div class=\"card-body\">\n        <div class=\"media\">\n            <div class=\"mr-3 img-48\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wpdm_icon\" alt=\"Icon\" src=\"https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/wp-content\/plugins\/download-manager\/assets\/file-type-icons\/pdf.svg\" \/><\/div>\n            <div class=\"media-body\">\n                <h3 class=\"package-title\"><a href='https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/index.php\/download\/sprout-instruction-for-scenario-workshop-organizers\/'>SPROUT - Instruction for scenario workshop organizers<\/a><\/h3>\n                <div class=\"text-muted text-small\"><i class=\"fas fa-copy\"><\/i> 1 file(s) <i class=\"fas fa-hdd ml-3\"><\/i> 274.89 KB<\/div>\n            <\/div>\n            <div class=\"ml-3\">\n                <a class='wpdm-download-link download-on-click btn btn-primary '  rel='nofollow' href='#' data-downloadurl=\"https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/index.php\/download\/sprout-instruction-for-scenario-workshop-organizers\/?wpdmdl=707&refresh=69ee4f5497d771777225556\">Download<\/a>\n            <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<\/div>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/index.php\/download\/sprout-scenario-building-workshop-template\/\">SPROUT Scenario building workshop template<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/index.php\/download\/sprout-evaluating-the-city-specific-cross-impact-of-chosen-drivers\/\">SPROUT Drivers Cross-Impact Table<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/sprout-civitas.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/Sprout-D3.1-City-specific-urban-mobility-scenarios-_updated.pdf\">SPROUT D3.1 City-specific Urban Mobility Scenarios<\/a><\/li>\n<li>SPROUT Future Mobility Scenarios <a href=\"https:\/\/sprout-civitas.eu\/resources\/future-mobility-scenario-budapest\">Budapest<\/a><\/li>\n<li>SPROUT Future Mobility Scenarios <a href=\"https:\/\/sprout-civitas.eu\/resources\/future-mobility-scenarios-kalisz\">Kalisz<\/a><\/li>\n<li>SPROUT Future Mobility Scenarios <a href=\"https:\/\/sprout-civitas.eu\/resources\/future-mobility-scenarios-padua\">Padua<\/a><\/li>\n<li>SPROUT Future Mobility Scenarios <a href=\"https:\/\/sprout-civitas.eu\/resources\/future-mobility-scenarios-tel-aviv\">Tel Aviv<\/a><\/li>\n<li>SPROUT Future Mobility Scenarios <a href=\"https:\/\/sprout-civitas.eu\/resources\/future-mobility-scenarios-valencia\">Valencia<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/dE7ln3WPOhs\"><strong>Recorded presentation: Preparing for uncertain futures \u2013 <\/strong>Sara Tori from Vrije Universiteit Brussel presents SPROUT\u2019s methodology for developing narrative and visual scenarios for cities.<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>[\/vc_column_text]<style type=\"text\/css\">@media (min-width:992px){.empty_space69ee4f5498c23 {padding-top: 20;}}@media (max-width:991px){.empty_space69ee4f5498c23 {padding-top: 15;}}@media (max-width:600px){.empty_space69ee4f5498c23 {padding-top: 10;}}<\/style><div class=\"pt-plus-empty-space empty_space69ee4f5498c23 \" data-uid=\"empty_space69ee4f5498c23\" ><\/div>[vc_custom_heading text=&#8221;Other relevant tools and methods&#8221; font_container=&#8221;tag:h4|text_align:left|color:%234b6584&#8243; use_theme_fonts=&#8221;yes&#8221;][vc_row_inner][vc_column_inner width=&#8221;1\/3&#8243;][vc_column_text]<div class='w3eden'><div class=\"card mb-3\">\n<img class='wpdm-thumb wpdm-thumb-200x200 wpdm-thumb-721' src='https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/wpdm-cache\/3.1-7.5-1-200x200.jpg' alt='SPROUT - Scenario building workshop template' \/>\n    <div class=\"card-body\">\n        <h3 class=\"card-title ellipsis mb-2 mt-0 p-0\" style=\"font-size: 13pt\">SPROUT - Scenario building workshop template<\/h3>\n       \n        <a href=\"https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/index.php\/download\/sprout-scenario-building-workshop-template\/\" class=\"btn btn-primary\">View Details<\/a>\n    <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column_inner][vc_column_inner width=&#8221;1\/3&#8243;][vc_column_text]<div class='w3eden'><div class=\"card mb-3\">\n<img class='wpdm-thumb wpdm-thumb-200x200 wpdm-thumb-848' src='https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/wpdm-cache\/SPROUT_Tool5-200x200.png' alt='SPROUT - Evaluating the city-specific cross-impact of chosen drivers' \/>\n    <div class=\"card-body\">\n        <h3 class=\"card-title ellipsis mb-2 mt-0 p-0\" style=\"font-size: 13pt\">SPROUT - Evaluating the city-specific cross-impact of chosen drivers<\/h3>\n       \n        <a href=\"https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/index.php\/download\/sprout-evaluating-the-city-specific-cross-impact-of-chosen-drivers\/\" class=\"btn btn-primary\">View Details<\/a>\n    <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column_inner][vc_column_inner width=&#8221;1\/3&#8243;][vc_column_text]<div class='w3eden'><div class=\"card mb-3\">\n<img class='wpdm-thumb wpdm-thumb-200x200 wpdm-thumb-761' src='https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/wpdm-cache\/Screen-Shot-2022-11-28-at-13.04.21-200x200.png' alt='ScenarioWizard' \/>\n    <div class=\"card-body\">\n        <h3 class=\"card-title ellipsis mb-2 mt-0 p-0\" style=\"font-size: 13pt\">ScenarioWizard<\/h3>\n       \n        <a href=\"https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/index.php\/download\/scenaiowizard\/\" class=\"btn btn-primary\">View Details<\/a>\n    <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column_inner][\/vc_row_inner]<style type=\"text\/css\">@media (min-width:992px){.empty_space69ee4f54a028d {padding-top: 20;}}@media (max-width:991px){.empty_space69ee4f54a028d {padding-top: 15;}}@media (max-width:600px){.empty_space69ee4f54a028d {padding-top: 10;}}<\/style><div class=\"pt-plus-empty-space empty_space69ee4f54a028d \" data-uid=\"empty_space69ee4f54a028d\" ><\/div>[vc_custom_heading text=&#8221;Data requirements&#8221; font_container=&#8221;tag:h4|text_align:left|color:%234b6584&#8243; use_theme_fonts=&#8221;yes&#8221;][vc_column_text]<em>Expert \/ Practitioners knowledge<\/em><em> is collected via scenario workshops. No<\/em><em> quantitative data <\/em><em>required<\/em>[\/vc_column_text]<style type=\"text\/css\">@media (min-width:992px){.empty_space69ee4f54a02ae {padding-top: 20;}}@media (max-width:991px){.empty_space69ee4f54a02ae {padding-top: 15;}}@media (max-width:600px){.empty_space69ee4f54a02ae {padding-top: 10;}}<\/style><div class=\"pt-plus-empty-space empty_space69ee4f54a02ae \" data-uid=\"empty_space69ee4f54a02ae\" ><\/div>[vc_custom_heading text=&#8221;Further information&#8221; font_container=&#8221;tag:h4|text_align:left|color:%234b6584&#8243; use_theme_fonts=&#8221;yes&#8221;][vc_column_text]<i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">This section is based on SPROUT Deliverable 3.1: City-specific urban mobility scenarios, written by Sara Tori, Geert te Boveldt, Imre Keseru, Cathy Macharis (VUB)<\/span><\/i><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Weimer-Jehle, W. (2010). Introduction to Qualitative systems and Scenario Analysis Using<\/span><\/i><br \/>\n<i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Cross-Impact Balance Analysis.<\/span><\/i><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Volkery, A., Ribeiro, T. (2009): Scenario Planning in Public Policy: Understanding Use, Impacts and the Role of Institutional Context Factors. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 76(9) DOI: 10.1016\/j.techfore.2009.07.009\u00a0<\/span><\/i><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">SUMP cycle Activity 4.1: Develop scenarios of potential futures: https:\/\/www.eltis.org\/mobility-plans\/activity-41-develop-scenarios-potential-futures<\/span><\/i><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:240}\">\u00a0<\/span>[\/vc_column_text]<style type=\"text\/css\">@media (min-width:992px){.empty_space69ee4f54a02c8 {padding-top: 20;}}@media (max-width:991px){.empty_space69ee4f54a02c8 {padding-top: 15;}}@media (max-width:600px){.empty_space69ee4f54a02c8 {padding-top: 10;}}<\/style><div class=\"pt-plus-empty-space empty_space69ee4f54a02c8 \" data-uid=\"empty_space69ee4f54a02c8\" ><\/div>[\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column][vc_btn title=&#8221;Back&#8221; style=&#8221;classic&#8221; color=&#8221;info&#8221; align=&#8221;center&#8221; custom_onclick=&#8221;true&#8221; custom_onclick_code=&#8221;history.back(-1)&#8221;][\/vc_column][\/vc_row]<\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[vc_row][vc_column][vc_custom_heading text=&#8221;Description&#8221; font_container=&#8221;tag:h4|text_align:left|color:%234b6584&#8243; use_theme_fonts=&#8221;yes&#8221;][vc_column_text]Scenario processes consist of a sequence of steps, which are depicted below. This section aims at providing practical experiences with conducting scenario processes<span class=\"excerpt-hellip\"> [\u2026]<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":447,"menu_order":2,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-583","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/583","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=583"}],"version-history":[{"count":27,"href":"https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/583\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1143,"href":"https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/583\/revisions\/1143"}],"up":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/447"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/sprouttoolbox.nuacampus.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=583"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}